The Poltergeist (8.793)

  Dr.Banton (9.050)

ANALYZING THE X-FILE

Here are the results (shown as a chart) of a computer program I wrote some time ago. The program simply chose one X-File randomly and then tried to quess (randomly) the correct X-File using the rules determined by the characteristics sheet. The program calculated each attempt. I ran 500000 X-Files and (about) 5 million X-Files characteristics question were made by the program. Results clearly indicate that some X-Files cards can be more easily determined than others.

Each X-File has a number after the card name: this number is the average attempts to quess the correct X-File (including the final, identifying question). There are 41 X-Files card and it seems that Mrs.Paddock is the "middle" card. It takes roughly 10 questions on average to determine Mrs.Paddock if questions are randomly chosen. The difference between "The Poltergeist" and "Leonard..." is 2.226 questions which really makes a difference in a "real" game!

  Central Operating System (9.184)

  Colonel Wharton (9.236)

  Cigarette Smoking Man (9.252)

  The Gregors (9.303)

  Reverse Engineers (9.382)

  Warren James Dupre (9.409)

  Arthur Grable (9.511)

  Eve (9.529)

  Duane Barry (9.617)

  Ancestor Spirits (9.633)

  Leonard Vance (9.647)

  Dod Kalm (9.677)

  Arctic Worm

  B.J. Morrow (9.741)

  Faciphaga Emasculata (9.788)

  The Host (9.794)

  Brother Martin (9.877)

  The Manitou (9.998)

  Mrs. Paddock (10.007)

  Ed Funsch (10.067)

  Augustus Cole (10.086)

  The Swarm (10.087)

  Jersey Devil (10.097)

  Alien D.N.A. Steroid Program (10.116)

  Michael Holvey (10.173)

  Alien Listeners (10.230)

  Alien Abductors (10.231)

  Lucas Henry (10.240)

  Sheriff Tom Arens (10.240)

  Cecil L'Ively (10.252)

  Volcanic Spore (10.263)

  Eugene Victor Tooms (10.430)

  John Barnett (10.488)

  Col. Colin Henderson (10.541)

  Alien Conservationist (10.562)

  Alien Experimenters (10.703)

  Donnie Pfaster (10.716)

  The Vampire (10.987)

  Leonard Det. Congenital Twin (11.019)